Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.704561 1.947241 2.213695 2.528205 2.889628 3.292351 3.775685
2025-08-31 1.325913 1.636179 2.004961 2.476571 3.065106 3.777224 4.707155
2025-09-07 1.138116 1.499268 1.958450 2.587319 3.429801 4.524555 6.063363
2025-09-14 0.980737 1.366808 1.887097 2.643407 3.721424 5.212827 7.450169
2025-09-21 0.840175 1.229925 1.782619 2.629266 3.903998 5.768412 8.732682
2025-09-28 0.707848 1.082006 1.636951 2.527425 3.935046 6.098608 9.722614
2025-10-05 0.653818 1.040777 1.639429 2.643028 4.304340 6.981208 11.693933
2025-10-12 0.610988 1.009634 1.650854 2.770339 4.704691 7.961855 13.970294
2025-10-19 0.561251 0.959679 1.623812 2.827365 4.990861 8.785355 16.095263
2025-10-26 0.516852 0.912341 1.593876 2.872857 5.258911 9.607449 18.335384
2025-11-02 0.460239 0.836229 1.504062 2.797892 5.295032 10.009062 19.834622
2025-11-09 0.401947 0.749913 1.385367 2.653088 5.177707 10.101330 20.729718
2025-11-16 0.365942 0.701988 1.333844 2.633951 5.310236 10.712846 22.817867
2025-11-23 0.330330 0.650645 1.269892 2.582205 5.370603 11.189002 24.701750
2025-11-30 0.317152 0.641877 1.287843 2.699063 5.797484 12.488463 28.618298
2025-12-07 0.299159 0.621117 1.279048 2.758307 6.108432 13.582463 32.251633
2025-12-14 0.276140 0.587125 1.238785 2.743850 6.252983 14.325057 35.174793
2025-12-21 0.247800 0.538490 1.161828 2.637540 6.171781 14.534969 36.818147
2025-12-28 0.240539 0.535200 1.183032 2.758498 6.643437 16.124731 42.260379
2026-01-04 0.234445 0.533776 1.208108 2.891673 7.163677 17.910641 48.544076
2026-01-11 0.223519 0.519951 1.203139 2.951335 7.508179 19.303709 54.006203
2026-01-18 0.212653 0.505026 1.193841 2.998925 7.828245 20.680661 59.675542
2026-01-25 0.195158 0.472197 1.137950 2.920533 7.803409 21.129267 62.708931